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I think it'll be Google and effectively Microsoft -- OpenAI is already so partnered with Microsoft, and if OpenAI messes up financially, Microsoft will end up bailing it out in exchange for majority ownership. So yes the music may stop playing but that doesn't mean OpenAI disappears, but maybe Sam does.
Unless there are antitrust concerns, but that's hard to see because Google is competition and Anthropic will probably remain the third more niche player.
In AI, whatever you wrote is going to be deprecated in theee months, and in six months SOTA LLMs will one-shot it directly. That's what it means for a domain to be "hot". AI is currently the largest and most intense global R&D project in the history of humanity. So for this one field, your complaint makes no sense.
Many — but you have fork over a significant chunk of change to view them.
Maybe "grit", like phlogiston, isn't real, and neurotransmitters are?
>The claim is that it handles 80%+ of their use cases with 20% of the development effort. (Pareto Principle)
The Pareto principle is not some guarantee applicable to everything and anything saying that any X will handle 80% of some other thing's use cases with 20% the effort.
One can see how irrelevant its invocation is if we reverse: does Kafka also handle 80% of what Postgres does with 20% the effort? If not, what makes Postgres especially the "Pareto 80%" one in this comparison? Did Vilfredo Pareto had Postgres specifically in mind when forming the principle?
Pareto principle concerns situations where power-law distributions emerge. Not arbitrary server software comparisons.
Just say Postgres covers a lot of use cases people mindlessly go to shiny new software for that they don't really need, and is more battled tested, mature, and widely supported.
The Pareto principle is a red herring.
So, 80 years of occupation, displacement, and killings didn't tarnish them, nor 2 years of bombing civillians enclosed in a walled off plot of land, with 100,000 dead and genocide - but a single day attack where most people just died from friendly fire under a "allow no hostages" doctrine did?
What is the distinction between "package manager and install manager"?
You can achieve a lot of bad things that way too, with nobody to stop you. It's the promise of every totalitarian: free you from all the messiness of having to deal with conflicting opinions.
It is remarkable how well the tradeoff of "you don't need political freedom if the economic growth rate is high enough" works for China, and also previously Korea and Singapore. Even, to a certain extent, Japan - fairly high levels of political freedom, but somehow it's still a one-and-a-half-party state.
Multitasking, SOM (contrary to COM, it does implementation inheratance across languages, multiple inheritance and has meta-classes), object based desktop, Smalltalk for business application development (basically a similar role as VB and .NET have gotten latter on on Windows), Visual Age for C++ had a Smalltalk like experience (although ported to Windows as well).
However this also meant a more beefy hardware than the DOS/Windows 3.x combo.
Not the first, has everyone forgotten the Surface/PixelSense table?
https://blog.azureinfra.com/surface/
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Datei:Surface_table.JPG
https://www.theverge.com/2012/6/19/3096652/microsoft-surface...
"Microsoft Surface PixelSense 'Coffee Table' Hands On"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qh9cOlVFItQ
Granted, this is very hard to search for, when not being around the time it was available, as most results will be about the current tablets marketed as surface.
I get to live this routinely in consulting projects, where management thinks teams are like playing footbal, replacing players mid game and keep going, naturally it isn't without all sorts of hickups as you well point out.
And even that won't do it, because within the constraints of iOS, eventually that framebuffer with software rendering has to be displayed on the screen via an OS API, which is UI Kit.
> Today's funding (VC or government grants) demands results in 2-3 years
This is nonsense. VCs have been happily investing in technology on 5 to 10 year timelines; traditional VC funds were raised with 7 to 10 year tenors.
> We've systematically eliminated the "patient capital" that creates foundational infrastructure
Did you miss all the space and fusion funding? Biotech? Flying cars? The folks on this board complaining investors have infinite timelines for results?
Overpopulation is not the problem of India. Mindset towards public areas and public behavior is - and the very much active in practice caste system, still excluding millions from full participation in all of society.
And inversely, demographic collapse if fertility falls will be a problem, just because it will hit after 2065 doesn't mean it's something to ignore.
As someone coding since 1986 it is always kind of interesting how Java gets the hate for something that it never started, and was already common in the industry even before Oak became an idea.
To the point that there are people that will assert the GoF book, published before Java was invented, actually contains Java in it.
This looks very thin and Linux focused to be the "state of embedded".
I would expect such title to encompass more hardware architectures and the plethora of embedded OSes available in the industry.
It is possible to have a dynamic environment without dynamic linking, that is how old UNIXes did it in the past via OS IPC, nowadays D-BUS as well, the problem then becomes the higher resource consumption when every little service is a process being started, and talked via IPC instead of a jump call.
Still quite relevant when security and host stability matters, though.
Stack allocation in GC managed languages is also available across C#, F#, Common Lisp, D, Nim, Mesa, Oberon, Oberon-2, Active Oberon, Oberon-07, Component Pascal, Swift (RC is a GC algorithm), Eiffel, and many others that usually are forgotten when discussing GC algorithms.
Also all modern Java implementations do escape analysis just like Go, instead of go build -gcflags='-m=3' one gets to use JITWatch or similar tooling, depending on the specific JVM implementation.
Given it still isn't as good as having explicit structs, hence the ongoing Valhala Project, that just got a second EA last week.
Finally, all this Go doesn't need to be like XYZ, usually ends up proven wrong a few years later.
Recently by adopting the keep alive and cleaner concepts from .NET and Java respectively, and a new GC implementation is in the works (Green Tea).
> that have tanked the service's first-party presentation quality to an all-time low
Would you pirate for better subtitles? Assuming Crunchroll has the legal rights to the content pinned down, that may be the only way to apply legitimate pressure.
> Can someone explain to me why California would believe Sam Altman plans to stay in California? This is a weak handshake agreement that could easily be flipped post IPO.
It is not a “handshake agreement”, but binding written agreement with terms constraining the governance of the restructure OpenAI entities.
https://oag.ca.gov/system/files/attachments/press-docs/Final Executed MOU Between OpenAI and California AG re Notice of Conditions of Non-Objection %2810.27.2025%29 %28Signed by OpenAI%29 %28Signed by CA DOJ%29.pdf
Gaben like all of us isn't going to be around forever, nor Steam is guaranteed to keep being what it is without his leadership.
Distribution is an issue, but the imminent capacity issue perceived in the late 1960s when The Population Bomb was written was already being solved when it was entering the popular consciousness (but the impact of the solutions had not been fully appreciated) by the Green Revolution through high-yield crop varieties and other advanced in agriculture.
I've heard IRC servers jokingly referred to as "layer 7 multicast routers."
> Near-term concern: F-Droid is getting too popular for Google's comfort and Android revenue ambitions
That's good to hear.
I'm entirely on F-Droid, with no Google account.
Plenty of formerly-reputable institutions corrupt. I’m still looking for evidence this is representative.
Ironically enough the National Nuclear Safety Administration staff were furloughed this month. You might recall that hundreds of them were mistakenly fired by the expert minds at DOGE back in February.
Cheap laughs aside, we already test nuclear triggers at the National Ignition Facility. I'm pretty sure what Trump is demanding here is a return to atmospheric testing because he wants the thrill of seeing a giant explosion detonated on his orders. I doubt he'll be satisfied with an education tour of the NIF or even underground testing. He grew up seeing atmospheric tests and he's famous for being invested int he power of visual imagery as a means of communication.
and must not be connected to PoE-enabled hardware.
I assume passive PoE; or does it also happen to look like a real PoE PD and trick the PSE into turning on?
Fully agree, it's become a thought-terminating cliche at this point.
> They’re predicting what words are most likely to come next in a sequence.
I find this objection hilarious because it describes an awful lot of humans. One of the banes of my life is when I'm trying to phrase something clearly and specifically and the person I'm talking to interrupts to respond to a wildly incorrect guess about what I was about to say next.A lot of people don't have the patience to unspool a thought or the instinct to ask a clarifying question instead of plowing ahead with their mistaken assumption.
People that are into anime are into anime because it is special. JoJo's Bizzare Adventure is cool when Marvel movies aren't because JoJo was made by one mangaka and a Marvel movie is made by a committee of committees.
By "these days" you mean "since AMD messed it up".
The average american mind can't comprehend this works out to a huge number of them having to commute by car 1-2 hours per day to get to work in some ungodly urban sprawl while living an alienated existence in crappy suburbs, and destroying the environment while doing so. At the same time working far more, slaving year round with laughable paid vacation time or sick day provisions, while being subjected to far worse homicide rates, and being treated as subjects by cops.
Such "freedom"...
This article badly needs an editor. Even though it's a topic I'm very interested in (and with the perspective of being semi-fluent in Japanese), it's so rambling and visually messy that I gave up halfway through.
I understand the usefulness of the feature, but find their examples weird. Are people really exposing their company's databases and web hosts on their tailnet?
It didn't, though? Poetry was largely fine, it's just that uv is so much faster. I don't think uv is that much different from Poetry in the day-to-day dependency management, I'm sure there are some slight differences, but Poetry also brought all the modern stuff we expected out of a package manager.
What's the product of this industry? It certainly generates huge negative externalities.
ChatGPT would be worthless without training material like SO.
I worked with a quite few of the folks mentioned in this article when I was at the Open Networking Foundation, if anyone has questions.
> A joke about… what?
"Torment Nexus" comes from (and is used as a concise reference to) a two-sentence tweet [0], and I think it makes clear what the joke (or, perhaps, "dystopian observation") is about:
Sci-Fi Author: In my book, I invented the Torment Nexus
as a cautionary tale.
Tech Company: At long last, we have created the Torment
Nexus from the classic sci-fi novel, Don't Create The
Torment Nexus.
[0] https://x.com/AlexBlechman/status/1457842724128833538
Side effects are generally rare, but it really depends on the person. I tried to start five times, and got massive side effects each time. The last time I started, I did my own protocol (started at 0.5mg every three days and increased a bit on every injection).
Now I'm up to 6mg and I'm not getting any side effects, but it also doesn't work for me! I lost 6kg at one point but the effects wore off and I gained the weight again.
None of my friends had this experience, for everyone else it's worked with no side effects. I really am cursed.
> Responses from Large Language Models like ChatGPT, Claude, or Gemini are not facts. > They’re predicting what words are most likely to come next in a sequence.
I wish we'd move away from these reductive statements that sound like they mean something but are actually a non-sequitur. "Articles on Wikipedia are not facts. They're variations in magnetic flux on a platter transferred over the network".
Yeah, that doesn't make them not facts, though. The LLM should simply cite its sources, and so should Wikipedia, a human, or a dog, otherwise I'm not believing any of them. Especially the human.
Fun stuff. You kids don't know how lucky you are to have really capable MCU's for just a few bucks. :-)
It is kind of the ultimate "not a TOE[1]" example yet.
[1] TOE or TCP Offload Engine was a dedicated peripheral card that implements both the layer 1 (MAC), layer 2 (Ethernet), and layer 3 (IP) functions as a co-processing element to relieve the 'main' CPU the burden of doing all that.
"On Prem" is looking better and better :-).
Remember that Cambridge Analytica was "research" as well. Laws like these sound good on paper, but it's the company that has to deal with the fallout when the data is used improperly. Unless the government can also come up with a fool proof framework for data sharing and enforce adequate protections, it's always going to be better for the companies to just say no and eat the fines.
> doesn't explain the value of Sam Altman's pinky promise
The MOU [1] requires OpenAI "provide at least 21 days’ prior written notice to the Attorney General before consenting to: (a) a change of control of the PBC; (b) any change to the PBC mission as set out in the PBC Delaware charter; (c) any amendment to the PBC Delaware charter that would remove the NFP’s sole right, as holder of the Class N shares, to appoint PBC directors or otherwise reduces in any material respect the rights of the Class N shares; or (d) the relocation of the headquarters of the NFP or PBC outside of California" [1].
The meat appears to be in the agreements by OpenAI to not change its ownership and control structure. California's real leverage would be in re-opening this dispute, though ¶ 22 seems to water down that power somewhat. (Maybe go after the donors?)
[1] https://oag.ca.gov/system/files/attachments/press-docs/Final... ¶ 19
My county lets you look up if it was received. You can vote on Election Day in person if they don’t.
Weirder still that Taleb misses the base rate flaw in the logic of full-body MRI screening and cancer screening, an observation that is pretty up his alley and is kind of a well-known thing in this domain.
Good to see an analysis emphasizing the metastable failure mode in EC2, rather than getting bogged down by the DNS/Dynamo issue. The Dynamo issue, from their timeline, looks like it got fixed relatively quickly, unlike EC2, which needed a fairly elaborate SCRAM and recovery process that took many hours to execute.
A faster, better-tested "restart all the droplet managers from a known reasonable state" process is probably more important than finding all the Dynamo race conditions.
> a network should have logically centralized control, where the control software has network-wide visibility and direct control across the distributed collection of network devices.
Including a backdoor for wiretapping in SDN-enabled routers.
The ‘profound’ global impact of China’s rise as an electrostate - https://www.ft.com/content/013e8a27-ade5-48ed-8f2e-ffbf70cc5... | https://archive.today/KJrOY - October 10th, 2025
Ember Energy: China Energy Transition Review 2025 - https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/china-energy-transi... - September 9th, 2025
Ember Energy: China's cleantech exports by technology and destination - https://ember-energy.org/data/china-cleantech-exports-data-e... (updated monthly)
In half an hour, Gregory Bovino, who heads some ICE operation in Chicago, is supposed to appear before a Federal judge to be questioned on what ICE did to whom today. Let's see if he shows up.
In all seriousness yes. Except maybe for the last 5 sentences.
I fail to see the issue people have here. I mean, what exactly is the problem with training data here? This is not like advertising, where the data is used against you. It's not information about people that's being collected and extracted here - it's about collecting enough signal to identify patterns of thinking; it's about how human minds in general perceive the world. This is not going to hurt you.
(LLMs ultimately might, when wielded by... the same parties that have been screwing you over for decades or more. It's not OpenAI that's screwing you over here - it's advertisers, marketers, news publishers, and others in the good ol' cohort of exploitative liars.)
> Minors don't have biometrics.
Minors do, in fact, have biometrics. Identification with them may be less reliable for some kinds of biometrics, but... reliability isn’t a hallmark of the current regimes “immigration enforcement” mechanisms.
> They are not obligated to have any sort of ID, especially citizens.
This is also true of adults, who are not obligated to have or carry ID if they are citizens (immigrants, both minors and adults, are a different story, are required to have ID, and are required to have biometrics taken unless they are under 14.)
Obviously, it can’t rule out citizens (though it could compare to databases available to the feds, which I would assume state ID databases are), since not all citizens will have biometrics of any kind, or even ID photos on file, but if they have presumed that the targets are immigrants, then scanning can be used to compare to records of documented immigrants, reinforcing (note I do not say justiying) the conclusion tha they are illegally present if it fails to match.
They can also be used to build intelligence databases of contacts even if not used to support immediate detention.
> Also, what in the fuck would CBP be doing in Chicago?
CBP, and more specifically Border Patrol, the main enforcement agency within CBP, is everywhere the Administration’s immhration crackdown is beig executed, and much of the most violent “immigration enforcement” attributed to “ICE” is actually Border Patrol, not ICE.
Humans display a reduced set of consistent behavioral phenotypes in dyadic games https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.1600451
unpaywalled link: https://www.wsj.com/business/billionaire-wealth-us-world-com...
They are really the worst possible people to be put in charge of anything.
Here's the Composer 1 pelican riding a bicycle: https://static.simonwillison.net/static/2025/cursor-1-pelica...
Here is some explanation from the source plus some code that can encode/decode x86 instructions in software
I'd argue bzip compression was a mistake for Conda. There was a time when I had Conda packages made for the CUDA libraries so conda could locally install the right version of CUDA for every project, but boy it took forever for Conda to unpack 100MB+ packages.
> I had been hoping someone would introduce the non-virtualenv package management solution that every single other language has where there's a dependency list and version requirements (including of the language itself) in a manifest file (go.mod, package.json, etc) and everything happens in the context of that directory alone without shell shenanigans.
If you are using uv, you don’t need to do shell shenanigans, you just use uv run. So I'm not sure how uv with pyproject.toml doesn't meet this description (yes, the venv is still there, it is used exactly as you describe.)
Far cry from the AOL - Time Warner merger, where AOL purchased Time Warner for $183B, creating a company with a combined $350B market cap.
The Electric Monk was a labour-saving device, like a dishwasher or a video recorder. Dishwashers washed tedious dishes for you, thus saving you the bother of washing them yourself, video recorders watched tedious television for you, thus saving you the bother of looking at it yourself; Electric Monks believed things for you, thus saving you what was becoming an increasingly onerous task, that of believing all the things the world expected you to believe.
Douglas Adams, Dirk Gently's Holistic Detective Agency
That worked fine before agricultural revolution. Since then, if you stick to your bows and arrows, you get sidelined and lose access to benefits of society and civilization.
More proof that you don't need the source code to modify software. Then again, Java has always been easy to decompile, and IMHO the biggest obstacle to understanding is the "object-oriented obfuscation" that's inherent in large codebases even when you have the original source.
Quantum computers will crack RSA and ECC and weaken symmetric encryption, but when? NIST is betting it won't happen before 2035, setting that deadline for companies to migrate to post-quantum cryptography (PQC). However, recent developments make it clear that we might not have 10 years; we might have only 5! Join Konstantinos Karagiannis (KonstantHacker) as he breaks down the latest algorithmic estimates, including Oded Regev's game-changing tweak to Shor's algorithm, which promises faster factoring with fewer qubits. He also discusses IonQ and IBM's aggressive roadmaps, pushing us closer to cryptographically relevant quantum computers (CRQCs). Think 1000+ qubits by 2026 and fault-tolerant systems by 2030. And when Q-Day does arrive, will we be able to catch or prevent bad actors from running these algorithms on cloud quantum platforms? Learn what's possible when monitoring quantum circuit patterns and suspicious API calls.
Another Python package manager? How many are there now?
Prediction for the future: OpenAI IPO's lots of money changes hands, it chugs along for a while, hits a hard spot and then is taken private for pennies on the dollar by Microsoft.
Study:
AI makes you smarter but none the wiser: The disconnect between performance and metacognition - https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S07475... | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chb.2025.108779
Ignore them? Operate outside of US reach. The tubes are global.
EDIT: Legally, you have no right to privacy in public, if your photo is captured in public (US centric), broadly speaking. You have the right to record law enforcement officers exercising their official duties in public.
https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2025/02/yes-you-have-right-fil...
https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2023/08/federal-judge-upholds-...
https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2023/02/fourth-circuit-individ...
https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2022/07/victory-another-court-...
SSHFP is baffling to me. The entire point of the DNS is to make introductions between parties with no preexisting relationship, which is exactly not how an SSH cluster works. SSH already has a (very good) certificate system that solves the same problem. Why would you include the global DNS among your trust anchors!?
One could make the case that the web of 2025 is anti-human. AI clients are one of very few exits we have from enshittification. ChatGPT can read all the ads so you don’t have to. The whole point of those annoying CAPTCHAs and those stupidity anime girls on all the kernel web sites is slamming the door from any exit from Google’s world that we live in.
It is much more than azure. One of my kids needs a key for their laptop and can't reach that either. Great excuse though, 'Azure ate my homework'. What a ridiculous world we are building. Fuck MS and their account requirements for windows.
I think Oracle should release a Java Server Update Service just so that the acronym is JSUS. JSUS saves.
We've decided to do onsites for all hires, in part to combat this.
> So Grammarly is addressing a very real need. Further, it's really the only way for them to stay relevant, because you're getting AI editing / writing features in Gmail, Docs, Office 365, etc.
They are a feature, not a company, with my apologies to Jobs. To your point, software and tools with native writing functionality can incorporate their own LLM support, as can native apps on mobile and desktop. Anything local will eventually be on device imho as model efficiency improves, or perhaps in browser (if not making API calls).
The end of the rip-off economy: consumers use LLMs against information asymmetry - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45748195 - October 2025
Because I choose my phone based on hundreds of different factors.
Whether it can use uBlock is just one factor.
Other phones have their own downsides.
The point is that this is massively less likely to happen than with their local currency.
If the dollar starts undergoing wild inflation, then the whole world has a whole lot of problems, not just stablecoins.
> Commercial banks can be easily replaced? How so?
End user deposit accounts held at the central bank [1] and narrow banking [2]. The Fed does not like these ideas though [3] [4], which is why their policy is designed to support commercial banks.
The funny part is the Tether become the narrow bank outside of the traditional financial system; they hold mostly only US treasuries, at nation state scale [5]. Does it matter they don't have a master account at the Fed? I argue no, considering treasuries are backed by the full faith and credit of the US government, and that debt is backstopped by the Fed.
Consumer deposits are unnecessary for lending; credit can be issued by entities who issue debt into the bond market for capital.
[1] https://rooseveltinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/GD...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Narrow_banking
[3] https://www.chicagobooth.edu/review/safest-bank-fed-wont-san...
[4] https://southerncalifornialawreview.com/2024/03/11/squeezed-...
[5] Tether is now the 17th largest holder of US debt - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45747578 - October 2025
(jqpabc123 mentions in a sibling comment FedNow instant rails, which makes moving value trivial for a few pennies per transaction, up to $10M at a time)
This is one of those "ACAB" things where you might reasonably dislike Cloudflare but a world without them or an equivalent will evolve worse solutions to the same problems, which you will like even less.
Hmm. Who do they hold it through? USDC are using Blackrock as an intermediary, but Tether have always been very opaque about their actual structure. And who are all these people who have swapped cash for a non-cash token which does NOT bear interest, unlike the bonds?
This is kind of true - the media environment can be both overwhelming and irrelevant. But eventually it hits. I have some friends who are trans and very familiar with what a hostile propaganda campaign can do to your healthcare.
(also, has everyone forgotten COVID?)
The thing about companies which want to interpose their AI as mediator on the whole of the internet is that suddenly they're responsible for all of it.
Nice work. Especially referencing the TI prior art of the Speak and Spell. This kind of synthesis was quite prevalent in the early 80s - school BBC Micros had a ROM which let you "*SAY" a phrase. Classic Macs had MacinTalk.
Another codec which might be interesting to try but is considerably more complicated is AMR, from GSM: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adaptive_Multi-Rate_audio_code...
unpaywalled link: https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/nvidia-poised-to-become-first-5-...
Practically though those systems seem to be pretty weak and are always getting broken, the TPM itself is another place where malware can hide, it's not clear to me that the benefits could ever outweigh the risks.
Because money. Yes Android is open source, but Google is spending billions of dollars a year paying engineers to develop it. If you want Android to be "free" find alternate funding, with no strings attached.
In the early 2000s a newbie to our forums got computer advice to do something nasty to their BIOS. Months later they came back incandescent with anger. It happens.
That's literally what generalization is.