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The paper touches on that:
> The ARR shows the extent by which total predicted COVID-19 deaths exceeded officially reported COVID-19 deaths during the period. A limited number of counties had ARRs < 1, which suggests that there were more officially reported COVID-19 deaths than total predicted COVID-19 deaths. One reason that a county could have an ARR < 1 is if death certifiers recorded people as dying from COVID-19 when they had COVID-19 but actually died from another unrelated cause.
> I hated writing software this way. Forget the output for a moment; the process was excruciating. Most of my time was spent reading proposed code changes and pressing the 1 key to accept the changes, which I almost always did. [...]
That's why they hated it. Approving every change is the most frustrating way of using these tools.
I genuinely think that one of the biggest differences between people who enjoy coding agents and people who hate them is whether or not they run in YOLO mode (aka dangerously-skip-permissions). YOLO mode feels like a whole different product.
I get the desire not to do that because you want to verify everything they do, but you can still do that by reviewing the code later on without the pain of step-by-step approvals.
Maybe AI will be what finally makes people realise how absurd the concept of Imaginary Property is.
I don't think you'll be able to provide evidence for the uneven distribution of IQ across nationalities.
Too bad, I control the client and not them.
The thing that really confuses me about this is that it has very real negative consequences. I cannot have a conversation about Copilot!
If someone says "I used Copilot to..." or "Copilot is great for..." or "Copilot sucks because..." they haven't communicated any useful information to me, because I have no idea what product they are talking about.
And if I ask them (which I always do) they still have trouble describing the product, because Microsoft give them no help at all. How DO you explain that something was the Copilot thing that's a feature on GitHub.com that shows up in the web interface there, as opposed to whatever the heck other forms of GitHub Copilot.
(Amusingly there are 15 "GitHub Copilot..." products listed on the linked website and I can't tell which if any of those 15 corresponds to the chat UI on the logged in GitHub.com homepage, or that's available in the "Agents" tab in a repository.)
Surely Microsoft feel this pain all the time? Bug reports in "Copilot" must be almost impossible to interpret.
Very cool! However, it took me a while to figure out how this was supposed to be used.
For others:
On desktop, at least, you need to click and drag up/down on the left-hand control that says "swipe" with two arrows.
Or click "Autoplay".
laszlokorte -- can I suggest that the up/down icons should also be clickable/holdable? Since they're icons, they look like buttons, not a "swipe area". And also, maybe default to having autoplay on (but still with the controls visible)? Because it was not clear to me, at first, that the whole point of the site is infinite zoom.
Like did Grok generate that on its own two months ago? Did you tell it generate it? What happened?
Strongly disagree. The best teams I’ve been on were the ones in which someone gave a shit enough to articulate why I, or someone more senior, was speaking baloney.
Yes, it is.
> The person proposing has been thinking about this for weeks or months.
This doesn't mean they know what they're doing. Their thoughts can be bad.
Plea agreement: https://www.justice.gov/atr/media/1434041/dl?inline
It's possible to be both literate and backwards.
If it’s not broken, don’t fix it.
3270 is a very efficient form of distributed computing where terminals and their controllers control a lot of state and the mainframe is in charge of the more important things. It was a browser from the 60’s, mostly 70’s.
> I would actually expect the opposite.
The people who get exonerated of murder decades later would probalby disagree.
> It says we're willing to give rich and powerful people a pass just because they make overtures towards something we care about.
This encapsulates the entire moral bankruptcy of "the Epstein class" so perfectly. I highly recommend reading the series about the Epstein class by Anand Giridharadas (Giridharadas didn't actually coin the term "Epstein class", apparently that was Ro Khanna, but he really was the first to popularize and clearly define it).
> whatever term you've switched to using
They're synonyms. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inalienable_right goes to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_rights_and_legal_right.... This happens a lot in English.
"Natural rights are those that are not dependent on the laws or customs of any particular culture or government, and so are universal, fundamental and inalienable..."
> is that they're simply assertions
So's "we don't have natural rights".
It doesn't have to be the pilots on the ground in Iran.
The folks back at base are gonna know quickly if they successfully get found. Everyone there'll know before it hits the media.
Or the administration officials in the Pentagon who get the news. Place bet, then leak the good news to the press.
The Fed rate is too high for the low risk involved.
Private student loans are similarly protected from bankrupcty, and don't have things like income-based repayment; they are, if anything, safer for the lender. https://studentaid.gov/understand-aid/types/loans/federal-vs...
> Neither major party appears to care about the two largest problems facing the U.S.
Forget about national politics and parties. Focus on the races in front of you. Irrespective of consequence. Local, primary, pre-primary informal caucusing, et cetera. It’s tedious. But there is a shocking amount of power that even small amounts of civic engagement away from general elections brings.
Unless the only issues you care about are hot button, there is a good chance you can individually sway policy outcomes in a meaningful way. (I have.)
Nothing, just keep in mind they're still unscrupulous.
> In US terms such a requirement is not “constitutional”
Then what is the selective service?
> that is pretty serious violation of human rights
I don’t think it’s that hyperbolic. But I agree that the existence of debts shouldn’t invalidate one’s right to a passport.
(The counter argument is that passports are a privilege and citizenship a bundle of privileges and duties. Why should the country have the burden of passporting someone abroad who as abandoned it.)
To the extent that most of this is going into AI and people are having their ChatGPT and Gemini requests throttled because of lack of capacity, they need it now.
AI is dramatically more compute- and memory-hungry than past computing models, so if that's what people are using, it's going to require a large build-out of computing capacity to support the requests that are being made right now.
Because there are customers there
> It's obviously a tongue in cheek comment
But it captures a truth. States see lotteries as a funding source. Kalshi and Polymarket are combined valued at the GDP of Iceland (or alternatively, 13 Greenlands).
Casinos are run as a productive part of Nevada’s economy. Lotteries, too, on average, at least in some places. Our liquor and now cannabis industries are economic engines. It isn’t ridiculous to expect gambling apps to wind up in a similar place.
Isn't X usually the original source these days?
I’ve had Claude Code diagnose bugs in a compiler we wrote together by using gdb and objdump to examine binaries it produces. We don’t have DWARF support yet so it is just examining the binary. That’s not security work, but it’s adjacent to the sorts of skills you’re talking about. The binaries are way smaller than real programs, though.
Or that the pinnacle of success and status is having a partner staying at home raising children. It is not.
Next step in Germany - from mid-2027, a fitness test for 18 year olds.
I actually like when that happens. Like when people "correct" me about how reddit works. I appreciate that we still focus on the content and not who is saying it.
My friends who work at Meta said that they bought 100s of copies of the book and were passing it around to make sure everyone read it.
I played this on the original IBM PC. (Un)fortunately, my dad got the 8MHz upgrade, so the game was really hard, because it was built for a 4MHz clock.
Luckily someone eventually realeased a DOS utility that would fake a 4MHz clock by making everything take two cycles.
Good times. :)
If the claim is "nurses and teachers are poorly paid in the US", that claim is broadly false. K-12 teachers in major metro areas in the US have surprisingly generous comp packages: well above area median take-home salary with predictable ladders, very good benefits, and defined-benefit pension plans.
There are school districts where teachers are poorly compensated, but they aren't the norm over the population as a whole. Teachers are generally well-compensated.
Nursing, I don't know where to start.
"The second, more fundamental reason is that the relevant features are not given in advance. A large part of what the expert learns through experience is which features of the environment matter."
Yes.
"This is the deepest reason why experience cannot be compressed."
No. Finding relevant features and compressing their valuation is what ML systems do. Especially in vision systems. Early attempts at machine vision had human-chosen features and detectors for them. There used to be papers with suggested features - horizontal lines, vertical lines, diagonal lines, patterns of dots, colors, and such. That's where things were in the 1990s. Those have now been replaced by learning-generated low level feature detectors, which work better.
This does need a lot of training content. The training process is inefficient. It definitely compresses, though.
Be specific. Which analyzer are you talking about and which specific targets are you saying they were successful at?
I know an ex-Facebook employee who told me that "Nobody at Facebook ever makes a conscious decision about whether something is good or bad. You are given a metric, and your job is to make that metric go up. If it turns out that making the metric go up has negative consequences [for the business, I don't think it's anyone's job to worry about the rest of society], then somebody else is given another metric to ameliorate the negative consequences of you making your metric go up."
He didn't last all that long, he had a conscience. I've heard similar things, but not quite in such clear words, from several other people I know who have worked at Facebook/Meta.
1. Water is child safe
2. Steri-strips are available over the counter at any supermarket or pharmacy (in the U.S.)
The large transformer shortage has been a problem for years. Large transformer making is a craft, where the winding supports are made of hardwood, like furniture, and wound by hand. Then the windings go into a case that's an oil tank.
The build teams aren't that big - 30-50 people. The main barrier to entry is that it takes people who know how to hand-build big transformers. Utility buyers want a supplier who's going to be around half a century from now, since these things last that long.
Here's a summary of the market, from a transformer maker in China.[1]
Here's an AI-generated fake video of large transformer manufacturing. It's about half wrong.[2] But right enough to be worth watching. I'd like to see the prompts for this.
Virginia Transformer is the US's biggest maker of large transformers.[3] They advertise their "short lead times" of two years. The margins are low, and makers don't want to go idle between orders. This is a problem with much heavy machinery. It could be built faster, but when you catch up, everybody gets laid off and the factory sits idle. There goes your profit margin.
[1] https://energypowertransformer.com/2025-u-s-power-transforme...
Intuition is just our brains' amazing pattern recognition ability at work.
In Portugal as well, both genders get listed when their time comes up.
Right, but your similarly-shaped argument is clearly false, and mine clearly isn't.
I can see now that you expanded your comment after I wrote my response. Please leave a marker ("later:" or something) when you do that.
It’s a great job path: good wages, guaranteed demand, and portable to other countries if you decide to leave the US.
Its pretty much impossible to have a substantial discussion because the facts (beyond the fact of the allegations) are opaque. Its a highly emotionally charged issue involving a divisive figure where pretty much no one has any access to useful facts. Discussions are destined to be all noise, no signal.
>In 2021 I had the worst accident of my life. I misjudged a jump from a rooftop to a fence, fell badly, and ended up in a coma for three days. When I woke up, my vestibular system was damaged. The apparatus that controls balance. For weeks I couldn't walk straight without the world spinning. Most people would have quit parkour after that. I did the opposite.
Sounds like practice for a major athletic event https://darwinawards.com/darwin/
>And if you fail to seek permission nothing happens. You can ignore it without consequence
The consequence is you violated the law, and they can have you at any time, even retroactively, for that.
That they don't is merely a detail. If it really has "no consequence" they should remove it.
Both non-disparagement and non-disclosure agreements should—just as many jurisdictions have for non-compete agreements, which do not even implicate free speech the way the others do—be sharply limited as a matter of public policy (non-disparagement even moreso than non-disclosure.) Both are routinely used to inflict public harm for private gain, and government enforcement of either is in tension with freedom of speech; while there is a legitimate case to be made that non-disclosure agreements within certain bounds have a certain degree of necessity in enabling legitimate business, this is a much harder case to make for non-disparagement agreements, at least for ones that are not temporally bounded within an active business relationship.
>If you’re spinning up a personal CMS, great. Have fun, you’ll learn a lot. But once you’re dealing with multiple users (tens or hundreds) it’s a different problem.
Is it? Django was just a personal project that started as a CMS for a newspaper. And that's pre-AI, and pre tons of libraries handling all kinds of functionalty like 2FA to offload features to.
And the core backend design and functionality for a CMS is a stable target that hasn't changed in 3 decades, unlike with other software.
Didn't you just restate what the parent claimed?
Indeed. For me, it's also a good reminder that AI is here to stay as technology, that the hype and investment bubble don't actually matter (well, except to those that care about AI as investment vehicle, of which I'm not one). Even if all funding dried out today, even if all AI companies shut down tomorrow, and there are no more models being trained - we've barely begun exploring how to properly use the ones we have.
We have tons of low-hanging fruits across all fields of science and engineering to be picked, in form of different ways to apply and chain the models we have, different ways to interact with them, etc. - enough to fuel a good decade of continued progress in everything.
It's amazing that most people don't realize it, and even in higher education you get people believing in taxonomies and categories as if they were a property of the natural world. There are no categories in the objective reality, rigid or otherwise; there are no metadata tags attached to elementary particles, that say what the arrangement they're part of is, and of what type it is. Whether in biology or in code, taxonomies are arbitrary - they're created by people for some specific purpose, and judged by useful they are in serving that purpose.
You'd think that now that we have LLMs, the actual in-your-face empirical evidence of a system that can effectively navigate the complexities of the real world without being fed, or internally developing, rigid ontologies, that people would finally get the memo - but alas.
Most likely no-one runned them, given the developer culture.
Makes me realize that "Worse is Better" was, in today's terms, apologism for vibe-coding.
CMS is pretty much alive, even if most of them are now headless, oriented towards MACH deployments and AI based workflows.
I expect the bigger risk to dynamic database-backed CMS platforms right now is that AI assistance makes static site generator tools run against a version controlled repository of content less intimidating for most users... and static sites are cheaper to run (especially in this era of badly coded scrapers flooding the internet) and much less likely to fall vulnerable to security problems.
I expect we'll see a further wave of CMS interfaces which provide a nicer editing experience on top of flat files stored in Git.
Maybe the strategic move for platforms like WordPress (and maybe Django too! The Django admin remains a very popular CMS platform) is to invest more in separation of admin editing from serving, such that there's an obvious path to edit your content in the CMS but deploy it as static files.
My own blog uses the Django admin and serves the site via Django (albeit behind a 15m Cloudflare cache to handle traffic spikes) but I have a scheduled GitHub Action that backs up the content to a Git repository: https://github.com/simonw/simonwillisonblog-backup - it's not much of a stretch from that to having the Git repository feed content to a static site generator.
Ask the moderators? Today's videos include an account with < 50 points and one with < 5 points, https://news.ycombinator.com/from?site=youtube.com,
Not "hidden", but probably more like "no one bothered to look".
declares a 1024-byte owner ID, which is an unusually long but legal value for the owner ID.
When I'm designing protocols or writing code with variable-length elements, "what is the valid range of lengths?" is always at the front of my mind.
it uses a memory buffer that’s only 112 bytes. The denial message includes the owner ID, which can be up to 1024 bytes, bringing the total size of the message to 1056 bytes. The kernel writes 1056 bytes into a 112-byte buffer
This is something a lot of static analysers can easily find. Of course asking an LLM to "inspect all fixed-size buffers" may give you a bunch of hallucinations too, but could be a good starting point for further inspection.
Well, that's the brexit outcome.
Interestingly enough for the C and C++ folks, compiler specific dialects for embedded without standard library, are still argued for as if being C and C++.
I don't see the purpose to run containers on Android, the managed userspace provides everything I need, including code on the go apps, already sandboxed.
Also not a termux fan.
à la carte is honest; overprovisioning just slows progress by preventing demand from creating pressure to innovate proper solutions.
The Troubles had a lower per capita body count than Detroit during the 80s. Part of their doctrine was "bomb with warning", usually to maximize property damage without random civilian casualties.
(Still quite a bit of murder of informers, soldiers, lawyers, and a teenager who happened to be in the wrong car. As well as government snipers firing into a crowd, planting a bomb on a band, and so on)
Wright designed a gas station, with a control tower office from which the manager can look down on the gas jockeys.[1] It looks like it belongs in Southern California, but it's in Minnesota.
His Marin Civic Center is nicely integrated with the terrain. Gattica, the movie, was filmed there. Like the gas station, it includes a non-functional pointy tower. Wright went through a pointy object period.[2]
Wright emphasized materials and surface treatments, to complement the plain lines of his buildings. That tended to run up costs. But if you use Wright's lines without the materials, you get brutalism.
I came across a top tier compliance auditor doing the same thing recently. I tried to talk to them about it and rather than approaching this from a constructive point of view they wanted to know the name of the company that got certified so they could decertify them and essentially asked me to break my NDA. That wasn't going to happen, I wanted to have a far more structural conversation about this and how they probably ended up missing some major items (such as: having non-technical auditors). They weren't interested. They were not at all interested in improving their processes, they were only interested in protecting their reputation.
I'm seriously disgusted about this because this was one of the very few auditors that we held in pretty high esteem.
Pay-to-play is all too common, and I think that there is a baked in conflict of interest in the whole model.
And here I thought it was all shoot on soundstage on Mars.
I wouldn't want to live in it, though, because everything would be damp.
The text implies it’s more due to the alleged license violation of a YC startup’s IP than the alleged fraud.
It's a special level of disgusting, that's for sure. And I though Installmonetizer was pretty bad, this one goes well beyond that.
Wow. This reflects the price of gold going up. A lot.
Get decentralized to the point that no single point of failure will result in wholesale outages: resilient as cockroaches. You can't do that if you have interconnects that have to work for society to work. The centralized electrical grid was a great idea and it got us very far. But it is just too fragile. Much better if you can have many (millions) of points of generation, storage and consumption and a far more opportunistic level of interconnect.
>How can an OpenClaw user use 6 times what a human subscriber is using when I'm four hours into the week and 15% of my weekly limit is already used up, just by coding?
Perhaps because your Claude agent usage is not representative of the average user, and closer to the average OpenClaw user levels...
The problem with refraining from political violence where it is warranted is that the other side will do it anyway and you end up dead.
Oh, it's a billing thing. Not fear that Claude coupled to something that can actually do things is dangerous.
Anti-pattern imho. Agents should operate within granular identity and permission scopes, with audit and log trails for all data operations (read, write, etc).
Copilot: https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/entra/agent-id/identity-pl... | https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/purview/audit-copilot (for example)
TLDR Maintain an identity boundary whenever possible.
If you ever visit Taliesin in Wisconsin (which has a pretty bland), you should also visit the nearby House on the Rock which is a fascinating and very weird collection of esoteric and kitschy items.
The contrast in attitudes and aesthetics between the two is incredibly stark, and it's very interesting to see the reactions of visitors to each location.
and they’ve made it clear that building products around claude -p is disallowed
Imagine not being able to connect services together or compose building-blocks to do what you want. This is absolute insanity that runs counter to decades of computing progress and interoperability (including Unix philosophy); and I'm saying this as someone who doesn't even care for using AI.
Transformers are also manufacturing constrained.
Electrical Transformer Manufacturing Is Throttling the Electrified Future - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47604887 - April 2026
"I choose the mind that never tires of mine."
> The solution as usual is open source.
> Obviously step-3.5-flash is nowhere near the raw performance of sonnet
I feel like these two statements conflict with each other.
Codex just ended their double-usage offer and OpenAI just had an exec shakeup, so it'll be interesting to see how Codex reacts, or if people have usage issues with Codex.
Haven't any of the space probes taken such pictures as they left to wander through the solar system?
> America is at near full employment
What America is full of is fake employment statistics that are artificially inflated by young people hiding out in school to avoid the bad job market.
In any significant war the Internet is going to go down. That's what has happened empirically in countries undergoing significant wars or social unrest, like Russia, Iran, Yemen, Ethiopia, Syria, Myanmar, and Afghanistan. While IP packet routing itself may have been designed to survive a nuclear war, there have been many centralized systems built on top of it (DNS? Edge caching? Cloudflare? Big Tech) that are essential to the functioning of what we know of as the Internet.
If your threat model includes war and you want to have some of the conveniences of the Internet, you should make plans for how to host local copies of data and develop local-scale communications for the people you regularly talk with. The Internet is too big of a security and propaganda risk for governments to allow it to continue to exist when they are engaged in a real existential war.
Don't forget underseas cables: https://www.submarinecablemap.com/
We know that to be the case with Musk. He's admitted it. Andreessen, don't know.
It gets better every release, but there are missing language features:
https://tinygo.org/docs/reference/lang-support/
And parts of the stdlib that don't work:
Why would I want to own a cut-off datacenter in Dubai?
Healthcare will carry the economy, 4M Boomers retire every year and these jobs cannot be offshored like finance and tech.
Issuing US treasury debt to those still willing to buy it.
No, but determinism reduces the number of stones you need to turn over when debugging hairy problems such as your program occasionally returning different results for the same inputs. You may not have control over the timing of I/O operations or order of external events (including OS scheduler), but at least you know that your side of the innovation/response is, in isoaltion, behaving predictably.
Linus agrees: https://www.phoronix.com/news/Torvalds-No-RISC-V-BE
Good. Call your reps and ask for more action.
Say what you want about cryptocurrency, at least their bug bounties pay well.
Trying to milk the last drop before the patents expire? H.264 patents have already expired in most of the world and the remaining ones, which might not even be necessary for the vast majority of H.264 use, are also approaching expiry very soon:
https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Have_the_patents_for_H.264_M...
Thanks for the Tintin reference! I immediately knew what you mentioned as that panel flashed in my mind.
I don't know what it is about the Tintin comics, but for many of the fans, the panels are so strongly memorable even after so many years, is quite amazing.